Matches

Czech RepublicvSouth Africa

Upcoming WC matches

Both teams enter this Group A match winless after opening defeats, but the Elo model sees Czech Republic as the stronger side with a material edge. The market prices offer a modest opportunity on the desk's favoured outcome.

SwitzerlandvBosnia and Herzegovina

Upcoming WC matches

Switzerland enter their second group fixture under pressure after dropping points against Qatar, while Bosnia and Herzegovina showed resilience in their opener. The model rates Switzerland as clear favourites, and the implied odds appear to undervalue that edge.

CanadavQatar

Upcoming WC matches

Canada earned their first-ever World Cup point with a draw against Bosnia, but face a far sterner challenge against Qatar. The model rates Canada as the dominant side, though recent form concerns linger for the hosts.

MexicovSouth Korea

Upcoming WC matches

Mexico's Elo model rating sits well above the implied market odds heading into their second Group A match. The hosts arrive with momentum from a dominant opening-day victory, while South Korea showed technical quality in their own win—but the underlying metrics suggest the desk's prior gives Mexico a material edge.

BrazilvHaiti

Upcoming WC matches

Brazil drew with Morocco in their World Cup opener and face Haiti next, seeking a commanding performance to reset their campaign. The model rates Brazil as strong favorites, though recent form raises questions about their attacking cohesion.

TurkeyvParaguay

Upcoming WC matches

Turkey suffered a shock opening loss to Australia, a result that raises questions about their group prospects heading into a crucial clash with Paraguay. The desk sees this as a pivotal moment where tournament momentum matters significantly.

EcuadorvCuracao

Upcoming WC matches

Ecuador lost their opening match to Ivory Coast despite creating the better chances, while Curacao suffered a heavy defeat to Germany. The model rates Ecuador as the clear favourite, and the market agrees, though the edge is modest.

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NorwayvSenegal

Upcoming WC matches

Norway made a commanding opening statement with a convincing win over Iraq, while Senegal fell to France despite an organised first-half display. The desk's model rates Norway as the clear favourite, though the market has compressed the edge.

Switzerlandv

Bosnia and HerzegovinavQatar

Upcoming WC matches

Bosnia and Herzegovina face Qatar in what the desk's Elo model views as a fixture where the market has meaningfully underpriced the outsider. The model sees Qatar as a live underdog whose implied odds offer genuine value relative to the underlying probability.

Czech RepublicvMexico

Upcoming WC matches

Czech Republic face a substantial task against in-form Mexico in a Group A fixture where the hosts carry a clear Elo advantage and the market aligns with the model's view of their superiority.

TurkeyvUnited States

Upcoming WC matches

Turkey meet the USA in a Group D clash after the Americans impressed in their 4-1 opening win. The model sees the desk's advantage with the hosts, who boast superior form and tactical depth despite recent injury concerns.

ParaguayvAustralia

Upcoming WC matches

Paraguay suffered a heavy opening defeat to the USA while Australia impressed with a disciplined defensive display against Turkey. The market has overreacted to Paraguay's loss, but their underlying qualities—defensive resilience and tactical organisation—remain intact.

Cape VerdevSaudi Arabia

Upcoming WC matches

Cape Verde earned a historic draw against Spain and faces Saudi Arabia seeking to build on that result, while the model sees modest value in the Saudis' chances despite the market's hesitation.

UruguayvSpain

Upcoming WC matches

Spain face Uruguay on matchday two of Group H after drawing 0-0 with Cape Verde, while Uruguay drew 1-1 with Saudi Arabia in their opener. The desk's Elo model favours Spain materially, but the market prices the teams far closer than that gap suggests, offering value on the favourites.

Algeriav